PolymarketActive

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

Ticker
how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-2026
Liquidity
$67,655
24h Volume
$1,143
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

2

Active

Yes

19.50%

No

80.50%

Market ID
678745
Volume
$236,220
Liquidity
$8,118
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

4

Active

Yes

32.55%

No

67.45%

Market ID
678747
Volume
$119,024
Liquidity
$3,258
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

3

Active

Yes

18.50%

No

81.50%

Market ID
678746
Volume
$83,930
Liquidity
$5,273
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

9

Active

Yes

0.95%

No

99.05%

Market ID
678752
Volume
$45,813
Liquidity
$1,819
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

1

Active

Yes

3.95%

No

96.05%

Market ID
678744
Volume
$44,863
Liquidity
$6,621
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

12

Active

Yes

0.25%

No

99.75%

Market ID
678755
Volume
$41,585
Liquidity
$5,741
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

0

Closed

Yes

0.00%

No

100.00%

Market ID
678743
Volume
$38,308
Liquidity
-
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

14

Active

Yes

0.40%

No

99.60%

Market ID
678757
Volume
$33,928
Liquidity
$6,211
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

7

Active

Yes

2.30%

No

97.70%

Market ID
678750
Volume
$26,322
Liquidity
$2,329
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

5

Active

Yes

17.25%

No

82.75%

Market ID
678748
Volume
$19,867
Liquidity
$4,364
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

8

Active

Yes

0.70%

No

99.30%

Market ID
678751
Volume
$18,747
Liquidity
$2,368
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

15+

Active

Yes

0.90%

No

99.10%

Market ID
678758
Volume
$12,791
Liquidity
$2,754
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

6

Active

Yes

5.55%

No

94.45%

Market ID
678749
Volume
$12,433
Liquidity
$1,638
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

11

Active

Yes

0.15%

No

99.85%

Market ID
678754
Volume
$10,803
Liquidity
$5,546
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

13

Active

Yes

0.15%

No

99.85%

Market ID
678756
Volume
$8,500
Liquidity
$6,253
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

10

Active

Yes

0.25%

No

99.75%

Market ID
678753
Volume
$6,617
Liquidity
$5,325
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Event Stats

Event ID
79926
Start Date
Nov 13, 2025, 4:02 PM
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
16
Total Volume
759.75K
Liquidity
67.65K
Last Updated
Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM