PolymarketActive

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

Ticker
how-many-republican-house-members-not-running-in-2026
Liquidity
$14,874
24h Volume
$20.14
End Date
Aug 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

28–31

Active

Yes

59.00%

No

41.00%

Market ID
909057
Volume
$6,241
Liquidity
$1,938
End Date
Aug 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

24–27

Active

Yes

5.00%

No

95.00%

Market ID
909056
Volume
$3,950
Liquidity
$4,766
End Date
Aug 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

<24

Active

Yes

1.20%

No

98.80%

Market ID
909055
Volume
$2,808
Liquidity
$1,921
End Date
Aug 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

32–35

Active

Yes

28.00%

No

72.00%

Market ID
909058
Volume
$2,579
Liquidity
$2,120
End Date
Aug 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

44+

Active

Yes

3.70%

No

96.30%

Market ID
909061
Volume
$2,019
Liquidity
$1,747
End Date
Aug 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

36–39

Active

Yes

6.20%

No

93.80%

Market ID
909059
Volume
$1,635
Liquidity
$890.87
End Date
Aug 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

40–43

Active

Yes

3.80%

No

96.20%

Market ID
909060
Volume
$1,573
Liquidity
$1,492
End Date
Aug 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026. For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if: • They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat • They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat • They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus) Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market. This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Event Stats

Event ID
101977
Start Date
Dec 12, 2025, 11:43 PM
End Date
Aug 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
7
Total Volume
20.81K
Liquidity
14.87K
Last Updated
Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM