PolymarketActive

How many seats will IUML win in the next Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

Ticker
how-many-seats-will-iuml-win-in-the-2026-kerala-legislative-assembly-election
Liquidity
$2,354
24h Volume
$10.70
End Date
May 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

16–18

Active

Yes

47.50%

No

52.50%

Market ID
1004444
Volume
$6,894
Liquidity
$283.53
End Date
May 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

<10

Active

Yes

17.50%

No

82.50%

Market ID
1004441
Volume
$79.44
Liquidity
$547.54
End Date
May 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

10–12

Active

Yes

10.50%

No

89.50%

Market ID
1004442
Volume
$73.50
Liquidity
$592.24
End Date
May 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

22+

Active

Yes

41.50%

No

58.50%

Market ID
1004446
Volume
$16.08
Liquidity
$307.60
End Date
May 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

13–15

Active

Yes

40.00%

No

60.00%

Market ID
1004443
Volume
-
Liquidity
$307.96
End Date
May 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

19–21

Active

Yes

41.50%

No

58.50%

Market ID
1004445
Volume
-
Liquidity
$315.59
End Date
May 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala. If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

Event Stats

Event ID
119521
Start Date
Dec 23, 2025, 9:26 PM
End Date
May 23, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
6
Total Volume
7.06K
Liquidity
2.35K
Last Updated
Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM