PolymarketActive

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

Ticker
how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2026
Liquidity
$19,704
24h Volume
$72.18
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

<350k

Active

Yes

58.50%

No

41.50%

Market ID
1089011
Volume
$63,700
Liquidity
$3,012
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

350k–375k

Active

Yes

20.00%

No

80.00%

Market ID
1089012
Volume
$27,567
Liquidity
$2,077
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

375k–400k

Active

Yes

11.00%

No

89.00%

Market ID
1089013
Volume
$16,616
Liquidity
$2,166
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

500k+

Active

Yes

1.70%

No

98.30%

Market ID
1089018
Volume
$11,969
Liquidity
$1,782
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

400k–425k

Active

Yes

7.30%

No

92.70%

Market ID
1089014
Volume
$10,920
Liquidity
$2,209
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

475k–500k

Active

Yes

0.40%

No

99.60%

Market ID
1089017
Volume
$10,719
Liquidity
$2,994
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

450k–475k

Active

Yes

1.65%

No

98.35%

Market ID
1089016
Volume
$10,400
Liquidity
$2,899
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

425k–450k

Active

Yes

2.70%

No

97.30%

Market ID
1089015
Volume
$8,087
Liquidity
$2,565
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q1 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q1 2026 delivery figures by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.

Event Stats

Event ID
139279
Start Date
Jan 2, 2026, 8:40 PM
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
8
Total Volume
159.98K
Liquidity
19.7K
Last Updated
Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM