PolymarketActive

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

Ticker
how-much-revenue-will-the-us-raise-from-tariffs-in-2025
Liquidity
$118,216
24h Volume
$128,249
End Date
Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 PM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

$100–200b

Active

Yes

9.60%

No

90.40%

Market ID
537485
Volume
$821,581
Liquidity
$9,882
End Date
Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 PM

<$100b

Active

Yes

55.30%

No

44.70%

Market ID
537484
Volume
$816,471
Liquidity
$16,298
End Date
Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 PM

$200–500b

Active

Yes

32.50%

No

67.50%

Market ID
537486
Volume
$480,739
Liquidity
$12,678
End Date
Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 PM

$500b–1t

Active

Yes

0.25%

No

99.75%

Market ID
537487
Volume
$366,852
Liquidity
$15,975
End Date
Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 PM

$1–2t

Active

Yes

0.15%

No

99.85%

Market ID
537488
Volume
$255,300
Liquidity
$30,700
End Date
Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 PM

$2t+

Active

Yes

0.25%

No

99.75%

Market ID
537489
Volume
$231,423
Liquidity
$32,682
End Date
Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 PM

Event Description

The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf). This market will resolve according to the value of costumes duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/) If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.

Event Stats

Event ID
22862
Start Date
Apr 15, 2025, 10:26 PM
End Date
Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 PM
Total Markets
6
Total Volume
2.97M
Liquidity
118.22K
Last Updated
Mar 1, 2026, 8:31 AM