Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Event Stats

Event ID

71693

Start Date

Nov 3, 2025, 7:36 PM

End Date

Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

1.59M

Liquidity

102.79K

Last Updated

Mar 16, 2026, 1:08 AM