PolymarketActive

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Name: Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
Start: 2026-01-06T22:02:28.810244Z
End: 2026-05-31T00:00:00Z

Ticker: lebanon-parliamentary-election-winner
Liquidity: $28,469
24h Volume: $84.57
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

Lebanese Forces (LF)

Active

Yes

58.00%

42.00%

Market ID: 1124641
Volume: $1,131
Liquidity: $1,219
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Hezbollah (Hezb)

Active

Yes

21.00%

79.00%

Market ID: 1124642
Volume: $485.18
Liquidity: $1,990
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Mada Party (Mada)

Active

Yes

0.55%

99.45%

Market ID: 1124657
Volume: $400.16
Liquidity: $1,236
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Popular Nasserist Organization (PNO)

Active

Yes

0.55%

99.45%

Market ID: 1124659
Volume: $378.15
Liquidity: $1,154
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

ReLebanon

Active

Yes

0.40%

99.60%

Market ID: 1124663
Volume: $372.74
Liquidity: $1,177
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Marada Movement (MM)

Active

Yes

0.40%

99.60%

Market ID: 1124648
Volume: $367.00
Liquidity: $1,121
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Islamic Group (IG)

Active

Yes

0.60%

99.40%

Market ID: 1124652
Volume: $359.44
Liquidity: $1,137
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Khatt Ahmar

Active

Yes

3.05%

96.95%

Market ID: 1124658
Volume: $344.43
Liquidity: $1,077
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Lana – Social Democratic Party (Lana)

Active

Yes

0.85%

99.15%

Market ID: 1124656
Volume: $344.41
Liquidity: $1,139
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

National Dialogue Party (NDP)

Active

Yes

3.05%

96.95%

Market ID: 1124660
Volume: $344.41
Liquidity: $1,220
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon (Ba'ath)

Active

Yes

0.40%

99.60%

Market ID: 1124654
Volume: $344.41
Liquidity: $1,123
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

National Liberal Party (NLP)

Active

Yes

0.30%

99.70%

Market ID: 1124655
Volume: $336.03
Liquidity: $1,181
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Dignity Movement (DM)

Active

Yes

0.40%

99.60%

Market ID: 1124661
Volume: $335.26
Liquidity: $1,205
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Union Party (UP)

Active

Yes

0.40%

99.60%

Market ID: 1124653
Volume: $322.27
Liquidity: $1,195
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Amal Movement (Amal)

Active

Yes

4.95%

95.05%

Market ID: 1124643
Volume: $320.79
Liquidity: $1,489
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Free Patriotic Movement (FPM)

Active

Yes

8.50%

91.50%

Market ID: 1124644
Volume: $249.65
Liquidity: $1,095
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Armenian Revolutionary Federation (ARF)

Active

Yes

0.35%

99.65%

Market ID: 1124647
Volume: $232.34
Liquidity: $1,283
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Islamic Charitable Projects Association (ICPA)

Active

Yes

0.35%

99.65%

Market ID: 1124651
Volume: $218.32
Liquidity: $1,198
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Taqaddom Party

Active

Yes

3.35%

96.65%

Market ID: 1124650
Volume: $214.96
Liquidity: $1,240
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Kataeb Party (Kataeb)

Active

Yes

5.60%

94.40%

Market ID: 1124646
Volume: $185.66
Liquidity: $1,330
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Progressive Socialist Party (PSP)

Active

Yes

1.20%

98.80%

Market ID: 1124645
Volume: $165.47
Liquidity: $1,261
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Watani Alliance (Watani)

Active

Yes

2.85%

97.15%

Market ID: 1124662
Volume: $158.35
Liquidity: $1,099
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Independence Movement (IM)

Active

Yes

0.95%

99.05%

Market ID: 1124649
Volume: $154.93
Liquidity: $1,298
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Party D

Inactive

Yes

Market ID: 1124668
Volume: $0.00
Liquidity: $0.00
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Party J

Inactive

Yes

Market ID: 1124674
Volume: $0.00
Liquidity: $0.00
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Party O

Inactive

Yes

Market ID: 1124685
Volume: $0.00
Liquidity: $0.00
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Party Q

Inactive

Yes

Market ID: 1124689
Volume: $0.00
Liquidity: $0.00
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Other

Inactive

Yes

Market ID: 1124664
Volume: $0.00
Liquidity: $0.00
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Party B

Inactive

Yes

Market ID: 1124666
Volume: $0.00
Liquidity: $0.00
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Party F

Inactive

Yes

Market ID: 1124670
Volume: $0.00
Liquidity: $0.00
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Party H

Inactive

Yes

Market ID: 1124672
Volume: $0.00
Liquidity: $0.00
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Party L

Inactive

Yes

Market ID: 1124676
Volume: $0.00
Liquidity: $0.00
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Party C

Inactive

Yes

Market ID: 1124667
Volume: $0.00
Liquidity: $0.00
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Party E

Inactive

Yes

Market ID: 1124669
Volume: $0.00
Liquidity: $0.00
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Party I

Inactive

Yes

Market ID: 1124673
Volume: $0.00
Liquidity: $0.00
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Party K

Inactive

Yes

Market ID: 1124675
Volume: $0.00
Liquidity: $0.00
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Party A

Inactive

Yes

Market ID: 1124665
Volume: $0.00
Liquidity: $0.00
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Party G

Inactive

Yes

Market ID: 1124671
Volume: $0.00
Liquidity: $0.00
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Party M

Inactive

Yes

Market ID: 1124682
Volume: $0.00
Liquidity: $0.00
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Party S

Inactive

Yes

Market ID: 1124691
Volume: $0.00
Liquidity: $0.00
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Party P

Inactive

Yes

Market ID: 1124686
Volume: $0.00
Liquidity: $0.00
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Party N

Inactive

Yes

Market ID: 1124684
Volume: $0.00
Liquidity: $0.00
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Party R

Inactive

Yes

Market ID: 1124690
Volume: $0.00
Liquidity: $0.00
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Party T

Inactive

Yes

Market ID: 1124692
Volume: $0.00
Liquidity: $0.00
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

Event Stats

Event ID: 147848
Start Date: Jan 6, 2026, 10:02 PM
End Date: May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets: 44
Total Volume: 7.77K
Liquidity: 28.47K
Last Updated: Mar 16, 2026, 1:16 AM