Negative GDP growth in 2025?

Market Overview

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Event Description

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2025, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2025, scheduled for release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on January 30, 2026, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product. Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2025, which provides the initial full-year 2025 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.

Event Stats

Event ID

22214

Start Date

Apr 3, 2025, 8:56 PM

End Date

Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 PM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

115.87K

Liquidity

2.83K

Last Updated

Feb 20, 2026, 4:46 PM