Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Market Overview

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Event Description

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product. Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.

Event Stats

Event ID

80660

Start Date

Nov 13, 2025, 9:27 PM

End Date

Jan 29, 2027, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

9.91K

Liquidity

2.66K

Last Updated

Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM