PolymarketActive

Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?

Ticker
negative-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-295
Liquidity
$13,713
24h Volume
$67.46
End Date
Jan 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?

Active

Yes

1.05%

No

98.95%

Market ID
654422
Volume
$28,785
Liquidity
$13,713
End Date
Jan 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2025, scheduled for release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on January 29, 2026, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product. Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered."

Event Stats

Event ID
67291
Start Date
Oct 29, 2025, 12:08 AM
End Date
Jan 29, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
1
Total Volume
28.78K
Liquidity
13.71K
Last Updated
Feb 20, 2026, 4:46 PM