PolymarketActive

North Korea missile launch by February 28?

Ticker
north-korea-missile-launch-by-february-28
Liquidity
$5,425
24h Volume
$1,125
End Date
Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

North Korea missile launch by February 28?

Active

Yes

59.50%

No

40.50%

Market ID
1221308
Volume
$2,329
Liquidity
$5,425
End Date
Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

Event Stats

Event ID
174916
Start Date
Jan 19, 2026, 8:35 PM
End Date
Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
1
Total Volume
2.33K
Liquidity
5.43K
Last Updated
Feb 24, 2026, 8:21 AM