North Korea missile launch by February 28?
ActiveYes
59.50%
No
40.50%
- Market ID
- 1221308
- Volume
- $2,329
- Liquidity
- $5,425
- End Date
- Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 AM
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Yes
59.50%
No
40.50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.