PolymarketActive

North Korea missile launch by January 31?

Name: North Korea missile launch by January 31?
Start: 2026-01-05T20:34:54.564203Z
End: 2026-01-31T00:00:00Z

Ticker: north-korea-missile-launch-by-january-31-661
Liquidity: $2,227
24h Volume: $361.93
End Date: Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

North Korea missile launch by January 31?

Active

Yes

18.50%

81.50%

Market ID: 1115274
Volume: $26,096
Liquidity: $2,227
End Date: Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

Event Stats

Event ID: 145517
Start Date: Jan 5, 2026, 8:34 PM
End Date: Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets: 1
Total Volume: 26.1K
Liquidity: 2.23K
Last Updated: Jan 27, 2026, 10:16 AM