Nothing Ever Happens: Iran Strike Edition

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Event Description

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Iran strike on US military - Iran Strike on Israel - Iran strike on Qatar Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEHIranStrike.pdf

Event Stats

Event ID

165836

Start Date

Jan 19, 2026, 8:35 PM

End Date

Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

4.5K

Liquidity

2.2K

Last Updated

Feb 3, 2026, 8:01 AM