Nothing Ever Happens: January
ActiveYes
77.50%
No
22.50%
- Market ID
- 1125678
- Volume
- $151,295
- Liquidity
- $18,938
- End Date
- Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Yes
77.50%
No
22.50%
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Another US government shutdown - Fed Rate Cut - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - Israel strikes Iran - Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela - U.S. invades a Latin American country - US strike on Cuba - US strike on Colombia - Nicolás Maduro released from custody Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+January.pdf