Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Event Description

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Another US strike on Venezuela - US strikes Iran - US strike on Colombia - US strike on Mexico - US strike on Cuba Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEHUSStrike.pdf

Event Stats

Event ID

145931

Start Date

Jan 5, 2026, 11:28 PM

End Date

Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

69.75K

Liquidity

9.34K

Last Updated

Mar 16, 2026, 12:53 AM