PolymarketActive

# of announced new drug boat strikes by January 31?

Ticker
of-announced-new-drug-boat-strikes-by-january-31
Liquidity
$7,661
24h Volume
$99.17
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

7–8

Active

Yes

15.45%

No

84.55%

Market ID
1004841
Volume
$74,804
Liquidity
$1,241
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

9–10

Active

Yes

7.50%

No

92.50%

Market ID
1004842
Volume
$52,021
Liquidity
$2,237
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

5–6

Active

Yes

69.50%

No

30.50%

Market ID
1004840
Volume
$30,969
Liquidity
$1,498
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

11+

Active

Yes

5.50%

No

94.50%

Market ID
1004843
Volume
$27,882
Liquidity
$2,684
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

3–4

Closed

Yes

0.00%

No

100.00%

Market ID
1004839
Volume
$26,169
Liquidity
-
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

0

Closed

Yes

0.00%

No

100.00%

Market ID
1004837
Volume
$24,231
Liquidity
-
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

1–2

Closed

Yes

0.00%

No

100.00%

Market ID
1004838
Volume
$17,129
Liquidity
-
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct vessels that Donald Trump, the U.S. government, or U.S. armed forces announce were struck by U.S. armed forces while designated as narco-terrorist targets between market creation and January 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Event Stats

Event ID
119590
Start Date
Dec 23, 2025, 6:46 PM
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
7
Total Volume
253.21K
Liquidity
7.66K
Last Updated
Feb 1, 2026, 4:16 PM