PolymarketActive

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner

Ticker
oscars-2026-best-picture-winner
Liquidity
$718,376
24h Volume
$103,053
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

Rental Family

Active

Yes

0.05%

No

99.95%

Market ID
613848
Volume
$1,076,411
Liquidity
$43,058
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

A House of Dynamite

Active

Yes

0.05%

No

99.95%

Market ID
613844
Volume
$1,055,634
Liquidity
$49,676
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Jay Kelly

Active

Yes

0.05%

No

99.95%

Market ID
613843
Volume
$928,223
Liquidity
$58,194
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

No Other Choice

Active

Yes

0.60%

No

99.40%

Market ID
613846
Volume
$797,428
Liquidity
$35,748
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

It Was Just an Accident

Active

Yes

0.45%

No

99.55%

Market ID
613842
Volume
$750,963
Liquidity
$62,573
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

Active

Yes

0.05%

No

99.95%

Market ID
613847
Volume
$749,604
Liquidity
$56,522
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Wicked: For Good

Active

Yes

0.15%

No

99.85%

Market ID
613840
Volume
$651,694
Liquidity
$88,186
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

One Battle After Another

Active

Yes

73.50%

No

26.50%

Market ID
613835
Volume
$534,489
Liquidity
$28,434
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Frankenstein

Active

Yes

0.30%

No

99.70%

Market ID
613849
Volume
$475,469
Liquidity
$57,484
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Bugonia

Active

Yes

1.45%

No

98.55%

Market ID
613841
Volume
$394,865
Liquidity
$44,691
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Hamnet

Active

Yes

12.40%

No

87.60%

Market ID
613836
Volume
$328,901
Liquidity
$24,248
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Avatar: Fire and Ash

Active

Yes

0.40%

No

99.60%

Market ID
613845
Volume
$292,945
Liquidity
$59,520
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Marty Supreme

Active

Yes

6.00%

No

94.00%

Market ID
613839
Volume
$283,204
Liquidity
$33,124
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Sentimental Value

Active

Yes

0.75%

No

99.25%

Market ID
613838
Volume
$245,966
Liquidity
$34,676
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Sinners

Active

Yes

3.95%

No

96.05%

Market ID
613837
Volume
$207,373
Liquidity
$42,243
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Other

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613850
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie A

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613851
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie B

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613852
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie C

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613853
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie D

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613854
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie E

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613855
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie F

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613856
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie G

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613857
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie H

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613858
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie I

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613859
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie J

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613860
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie K

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613861
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie L

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613862
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie M

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613863
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie N

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613864
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie O

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613865
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie P

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613866
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie Q

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613867
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie R

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613868
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie S

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613869
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie T

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613870
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie U

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613871
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie V

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613872
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie W

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613873
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie X

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613874
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie Y

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613875
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Movie Z

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
613876
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event Stats

Event ID
50251
Start Date
Sep 26, 2025, 9:28 PM
End Date
Mar 15, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
42
Total Volume
8.77M
Liquidity
718.38K
Last Updated
Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM