↑ 25%
ClosedYes
100.00%
No
0.00%
- Market ID
- 813539
- Volume
- $29,854
- Liquidity
- -
- End Date
- Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Yes
100.00%
No
0.00%
Yes
20.50%
No
79.50%
Yes
3.05%
No
96.95%
Yes
3.50%
No
96.50%
Yes
3.20%
No
96.80%
Yes
6.00%
No
94.00%
Yes
15.50%
No
84.50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the House in 2026?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the House in 2026?" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-in-2025-over-60-by-friday or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.