PolymarketActive

Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31?

Ticker
republican-2026-senate-odds-hit-by-march-31
Liquidity
$45,666
24h Volume
$2,800
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

↑ 75%

Active

Yes

6.50%

No

93.50%

Market ID
814121
Volume
$18,944
Liquidity
$6,673
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

↑ 80%

Active

Yes

3.05%

No

96.95%

Market ID
814120
Volume
$17,997
Liquidity
$9,684
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

↓ 55%

Active

Yes

11.50%

No

88.50%

Market ID
814124
Volume
$15,608
Liquidity
$5,826
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

↓ 50%

Active

Yes

5.40%

No

94.60%

Market ID
814125
Volume
$4,171
Liquidity
$7,786
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

↓ 60%

Active

Yes

44.00%

No

56.00%

Market ID
814123
Volume
$3,358
Liquidity
$1,648
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

↑ 90%

Active

Yes

2.55%

No

97.45%

Market ID
814119
Volume
$3,221
Liquidity
$3,654
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

↑ 70%

Active

Yes

38.00%

No

62.00%

Market ID
814122
Volume
$2,025
Liquidity
$1,572
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

↓ 40%

Active

Yes

3.30%

No

96.70%

Market ID
814126
Volume
$917.57
Liquidity
$8,822
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026?) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on XXX or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

Event Stats

Event ID
96756
Start Date
Dec 5, 2025, 9:02 PM
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
8
Total Volume
66.24K
Liquidity
45.67K
Last Updated
Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM