PolymarketActive

S&P 500 Single-Day Gains and Losses (%) in Q1

Ticker
sp-500-single-day-gains-and-losses-in-q1
Liquidity
$26,067
24h Volume
$12,545
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

2% Loss

Active

Yes

99.95%

No

0.05%

Market ID
1176602
Volume
$16,333
Liquidity
$8,749
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

1% Loss

Active

Yes

99.90%

No

0.10%

Market ID
1176601
Volume
$16,280
Liquidity
$6,893
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

2% Gain

Active

Yes

80.00%

No

20.00%

Market ID
1176599
Volume
$3,870
Liquidity
$1,202
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

5% Loss

Active

Yes

12.95%

No

87.05%

Market ID
1176605
Volume
$3,495
Liquidity
$159.35
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

4% Loss

Active

Yes

9.50%

No

90.50%

Market ID
1176604
Volume
$2,605
Liquidity
$1,695
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

3% Loss

Active

Yes

34.50%

No

65.50%

Market ID
1176603
Volume
$1,995
Liquidity
$974.15
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

4% Gain

Active

Yes

11.00%

No

89.00%

Market ID
1176597
Volume
$1,939
Liquidity
$993.79
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

5% Gain

Active

Yes

12.00%

No

88.00%

Market ID
1176596
Volume
$1,522
Liquidity
$1,124
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

1% Gain

Active

Yes

99.50%

No

0.50%

Market ID
1176600
Volume
$263.95
Liquidity
$3,850
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

3% Gain

Active

Yes

17.50%

No

82.50%

Market ID
1176598
Volume
$257.00
Liquidity
$427.95
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) increases by at least the listed percentage on any single trading day between January 14 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on a given trading day will be calculated by comparing the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on that day to the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on the previous trading day, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. The previous day’s closing price will be subtracted from the current day’s closing price, and then that difference will be divided by the previous day’s closing price. If the daily percentage change is negative, it will be considered a loss of that percentage in absolute terms. Daily percentage changes will be rounded to two decimal places away from zero (e.g. a daily percentage gain of 1.995% would be considered 2.00%, and a daily percentage gain of 1.993% would be considered 1.99%) If any relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for a relevant trading day (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), this market will use the most recent official price published by the specified resolution source as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market will be the Wall Street Journal, specifically the daily CLOSE prices for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) published on the S&P 500 Index (SPX) historical prices page (https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices).

Event Stats

Event ID
161958
Start Date
Jan 14, 2026, 10:55 PM
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
10
Total Volume
48.56K
Liquidity
26.07K
Last Updated
Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM