PolymarketActive

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

Ticker
spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap
Liquidity
$113,097
24h Volume
$44,412
End Date
Dec 31, 2027, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

1T+

Active

Yes

77.00%

No

23.00%

Market ID
842092
Volume
$232,911
Liquidity
$15,210
End Date
Dec 31, 2027, 12:00 AM

800B–900B

Active

Yes

0.55%

No

99.45%

Market ID
842090
Volume
$144,470
Liquidity
$13,305
End Date
Dec 31, 2027, 12:00 AM

<500B

Active

Yes

0.90%

No

99.10%

Market ID
842086
Volume
$105,996
Liquidity
$8,180
End Date
Dec 31, 2027, 12:00 AM

900B–1T

Active

Yes

1.25%

No

98.75%

Market ID
842091
Volume
$103,606
Liquidity
$12,321
End Date
Dec 31, 2027, 12:00 AM

No IPO before 2028

Active

Yes

14.00%

No

86.00%

Market ID
842093
Volume
$103,554
Liquidity
$18,069
End Date
Dec 31, 2027, 12:00 AM

600B–700B

Active

Yes

3.50%

No

96.50%

Market ID
842088
Volume
$98,920
Liquidity
$19,600
End Date
Dec 31, 2027, 12:00 AM

500B–600B

Active

Yes

1.50%

No

98.50%

Market ID
842087
Volume
$98,796
Liquidity
$11,765
End Date
Dec 31, 2027, 12:00 AM

700B–800B

Active

Yes

0.60%

No

99.40%

Market ID
842089
Volume
$88,603
Liquidity
$13,094
End Date
Dec 31, 2027, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Event Stats

Event ID
98374
Start Date
Dec 6, 2025, 1:34 AM
End Date
Dec 31, 2027, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
8
Total Volume
975.47K
Liquidity
113.1K
Last Updated
Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM