January 17
ClosedYes
0.00%
No
100.00%
- Market ID
- 1090801
- Volume
- $23,570
- Liquidity
- -
- End Date
- Jan 17, 2026, 12:00 AM
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Yes
0.00%
No
100.00%
Yes
0.00%
No
100.00%
Yes
38.00%
No
62.00%
Yes
7.50%
No
92.50%
Yes
0.00%
No
100.00%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.