U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by...?

Market Overview

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Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.

Event Stats

Event ID

133651

Start Date

Dec 31, 2025, 5:47 PM

End Date

Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

2

Total Volume

355.67K

Liquidity

-

Last Updated

Mar 16, 2026, 2:23 AM