PolymarketActive

U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?

Ticker
us-evacuates-baghdad-embassy-by-january-31
Liquidity
$5,078
24h Volume
$2,013
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?

Active

Yes

1.05%

No

98.95%

Market ID
1092204
Volume
$98,231
Liquidity
$5,078
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.

Event Stats

Event ID
139840
Start Date
Jan 3, 2026, 2:41 AM
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
1
Total Volume
98.23K
Liquidity
5.08K
Last Updated
Feb 1, 2026, 7:31 AM