US bank failure by February 28?

Market Overview

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Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.

Event Stats

Event ID

168081

Start Date

Jan 16, 2026, 8:05 PM

End Date

Feb 28, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

1.72K

Liquidity

681.35

Last Updated

Feb 24, 2026, 7:21 AM