PolymarketActive

US civil war before 2027?

Ticker
us-civil-war-before-2027
Liquidity
$12,912
24h Volume
$2,180
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

US civil war before 2027?

Active

Yes

10.45%

No

89.55%

Market ID
940834
Volume
$60,657
Liquidity
$12,912
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States of America enters a state of civil war by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming the US is in a civil war. Note: Media reports that use the phrase "civil war" metaphorically will not count. Only a wide consensus of reporting that the US has entered a literal civil war will qualify.

Event Stats

Event ID
105864
Start Date
Dec 15, 2025, 10:56 PM
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
1
Total Volume
60.66K
Liquidity
12.91K
Last Updated
Mar 11, 2026, 8:08 PM