US defaults on debt by 2027?
ActiveYes
4.25%
No
95.75%
- Market ID
- 665728
- Volume
- $7,332
- Liquidity
- $15,912
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
PolymarketActive
US defaults on debt by 2027?
- Ticker
- us-defaults-on-debt-by-2027
- Liquidity
- $15,912
- 24h Volume
- $115.66
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Markets
Event Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
Event Stats
- Event ID
- 73331
- Start Date
- Nov 5, 2025, 7:50 PM
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
- Total Markets
- 1
- Total Volume
- 7.33K
- Liquidity
- 15.91K
- Last Updated
- Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM