US fertility rate up in Q3 2025?

Market Overview

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Event Description

The CDC reported a general fertility rate of 53.7 births per 1,000 women aged 15–44 for Q2 2025 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/natality-dashboard.htm). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the initial reported rate for Q3 2025 exceeds 53.7, according to the CDC's Vital Statistics Rapid Release series. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the CDC does not release general fertility rate data for Q3 2025 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution will be based on the first published estimate for Q3 2025, regardless of any subsequent revisions. The resolution source will be the CDC’s Vital Statistics Rapid Release.

Event Stats

Event ID

51561

Start Date

Sep 29, 2025, 8:54 PM

End Date

Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

3.48K

Liquidity

831.76

Last Updated

Mar 15, 2026, 11:53 PM