PolymarketActive

US forces enter Iran by..?

Ticker
us-forces-enter-iran-by
Liquidity
$51,377
24h Volume
$20,103
End Date
-

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

January 31?

Active

Yes

2.35%

No

97.65%

Market ID
1162935
Volume
$376,201
Liquidity
$36,811
End Date
-

March 31

Active

Yes

10.00%

No

90.00%

Market ID
1162940
Volume
$74,887
Liquidity
$14,566
End Date
-

Event Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Event Stats

Event ID
158299
Start Date
Jan 11, 2026, 8:43 PM
End Date
-
Total Markets
2
Total Volume
451.09K
Liquidity
51.38K
Last Updated
Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM