PolymarketActive

US GDP growth in Q4 2025?

Ticker
us-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025
Liquidity
$31,696
24h Volume
$1,553
End Date
Jan 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

>3.5%

Active

Yes

68.50%

No

31.50%

Market ID
654429
Volume
$112,197
Liquidity
$5,158
End Date
Jan 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

<1.0%

Active

Yes

2.05%

No

97.95%

Market ID
654423
Volume
$34,255
Liquidity
$8,186
End Date
Jan 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

3.0–3.5%

Active

Yes

11.70%

No

88.30%

Market ID
654428
Volume
$23,892
Liquidity
$2,537
End Date
Jan 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

2.5–3.0%

Active

Yes

7.75%

No

92.25%

Market ID
654427
Volume
$23,491
Liquidity
$2,457
End Date
Jan 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

1.0–1.5%

Active

Yes

0.40%

No

99.60%

Market ID
654424
Volume
$18,127
Liquidity
$4,292
End Date
Jan 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

2.0–2.5%

Active

Yes

8.00%

No

92.00%

Market ID
654426
Volume
$16,112
Liquidity
$3,741
End Date
Jan 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

1.5–2.0%

Active

Yes

5.00%

No

95.00%

Market ID
654425
Volume
$14,283
Liquidity
$5,326
End Date
Jan 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled for January 29, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Event Stats

Event ID
67292
Start Date
Oct 29, 2025, 7:04 PM
End Date
Jan 29, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
7
Total Volume
242.36K
Liquidity
31.7K
Last Updated
Feb 20, 2026, 5:46 PM