US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Market Overview

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Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

Event Stats

Event ID

108031

Start Date

Dec 17, 2025, 10:54 PM

End Date

Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

8.64K

Liquidity

4.33K

Last Updated

Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 AM