US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

Market Overview

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Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea. The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.

Event Stats

Event ID

79228

Start Date

Nov 13, 2025, 11:20 PM

End Date

Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

19.85K

Liquidity

12.51K

Last Updated

Mar 15, 2026, 11:31 PM