PolymarketActive

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Name: Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Start: 2025-12-12T16:53:11.055486Z
End: 2028-01-01T05:00:00Z

Ticker: variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
Liquidity: $68,303
24h Volume: $4,331
End Date: Jan 1, 2028, 5:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

$800M

Active

Yes

38.00%

62.00%

Market ID: 920402
Volume: $31,407
Liquidity: $8,359
End Date: Jan 1, 2028, 5:00 AM

$500M

Active

Yes

65.50%

34.50%

Market ID: 1028586
Volume: $24,528
Liquidity: $6,257
End Date: Jan 1, 2028, 5:00 AM

$2B

Active

Yes

13.50%

86.50%

Market ID: 920404
Volume: $13,064
Liquidity: $14,398
End Date: Jan 1, 2028, 5:00 AM

$1B

Active

Yes

27.50%

72.50%

Market ID: 920403
Volume: $8,274
Liquidity: $9,598
End Date: Jan 1, 2028, 5:00 AM

$5B

Active

Yes

2.15%

97.85%

Market ID: 920407
Volume: $2,813
Liquidity: $10,617
End Date: Jan 1, 2028, 5:00 AM

$4B

Active

Yes

3.10%

96.90%

Market ID: 920406
Volume: $557.48
Liquidity: $10,106
End Date: Jan 1, 2028, 5:00 AM

$3B

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market ID: 920405
Volume: $337.99
Liquidity: $8,968
End Date: Jan 1, 2028, 5:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Event Stats

Event ID: 103469
Start Date: Dec 12, 2025, 4:53 PM
End Date: Jan 1, 2028, 5:00 AM
Total Markets: 7
Total Volume: 80.98K
Liquidity: 68.3K
Last Updated: Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM