PolymarketActive

What places will Trump mention during the State of the Union address?

Ticker
what-places-will-trump-mention-during-the-state-of-the-union-address
Liquidity
$8,939
24h Volume
$181.72
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

White House

Active

Yes

45.00%

No

55.00%

Market ID
1230301
Volume
$119.72
Liquidity
$275.40
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Minnesota

Active

Yes

82.50%

No

17.50%

Market ID
1230265
Volume
$50.72
Liquidity
$520.58
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Greenland

Active

Yes

83.00%

No

17.00%

Market ID
1230248
Volume
$41.99
Liquidity
$545.22
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Washington DC / DC

Active

Yes

71.00%

No

29.00%

Market ID
1230297
Volume
$25.41
Liquidity
$189.82
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Congo

Active

Yes

42.50%

No

57.50%

Market ID
1230238
Volume
$6.58
Liquidity
$296.54
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Russia

Active

Yes

73.00%

No

27.00%

Market ID
1230282
Volume
$2.38
Liquidity
$438.42
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Europe / European

Active

Yes

78.50%

No

21.50%

Market ID
1230244
Volume
$2.20
Liquidity
$784.62
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Mexico

Active

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market ID
1230261
Volume
$2.15
Liquidity
$108.98
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

China

Active

Yes

77.50%

No

22.50%

Market ID
1230234
Volume
$1.10
Liquidity
$533.89
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Canada

Active

Yes

47.00%

No

53.00%

Market ID
1230230
Volume
$1.09
Liquidity
$104.12
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Afghanistan

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market ID
1230224
Volume
-
Liquidity
$166.73
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Arizona

Active

Yes

47.50%

No

52.50%

Market ID
1230226
Volume
-
Liquidity
$43.47
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

California

Active

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market ID
1230228
Volume
-
Liquidity
$44.14
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Chicago

Active

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market ID
1230232
Volume
-
Liquidity
$43.09
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Colombia

Active

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market ID
1230236
Volume
-
Liquidity
$79.27
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Cuba

Active

Yes

51.00%

No

49.00%

Market ID
1230240
Volume
-
Liquidity
$226.07
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

El Salvador

Active

Yes

36.00%

No

64.00%

Market ID
1230242
Volume
-
Liquidity
$118.46
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Georgia

Active

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market ID
1230246
Volume
-
Liquidity
$135.13
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Gulf of America

Active

Yes

52.00%

No

48.00%

Market ID
1230250
Volume
-
Liquidity
$109.08
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

India

Active

Yes

57.50%

No

42.50%

Market ID
1230252
Volume
-
Liquidity
$443.86
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Iran

Active

Yes

77.00%

No

23.00%

Market ID
1230254
Volume
-
Liquidity
$272.44
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Japan

Active

Yes

50.50%

No

49.50%

Market ID
1230256
Volume
-
Liquidity
$299.37
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Los Angeles

Active

Yes

49.00%

No

51.00%

Market ID
1230257
Volume
-
Liquidity
$40.80
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Memphis

Active

Yes

47.50%

No

52.50%

Market ID
1230259
Volume
-
Liquidity
$52.94
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Michigan

Active

Yes

54.00%

No

46.00%

Market ID
1230263
Volume
-
Liquidity
$164.37
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Mount McKinley

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market ID
1230266
Volume
-
Liquidity
$54.12
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

New Orleans

Active

Yes

49.00%

No

51.00%

Market ID
1230268
Volume
-
Liquidity
$41.15
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

New York

Active

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market ID
1230270
Volume
-
Liquidity
$69.75
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Nigeria

Active

Yes

48.50%

No

51.50%

Market ID
1230272
Volume
-
Liquidity
$45.66
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

North Carolina

Active

Yes

49.00%

No

51.00%

Market ID
1230274
Volume
-
Liquidity
$39.25
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Panama

Active

Yes

52.00%

No

48.00%

Market ID
1230276
Volume
-
Liquidity
$200.21
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Pennsylvania

Active

Yes

49.00%

No

51.00%

Market ID
1230278
Volume
-
Liquidity
$45.99
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Portland

Active

Yes

48.50%

No

51.50%

Market ID
1230280
Volume
-
Liquidity
$43.58
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Ukraine

Active

Yes

75.00%

No

25.00%

Market ID
1230293
Volume
-
Liquidity
$750.87
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Western Hemisphere

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market ID
1230299
Volume
-
Liquidity
$69.43
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Syria

Active

Yes

48.50%

No

51.50%

Market ID
1230287
Volume
-
Liquidity
$46.61
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Texas

Active

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market ID
1230291
Volume
-
Liquidity
$61.80
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Somalia

Active

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market ID
1230284
Volume
-
Liquidity
$106.70
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

South America / Latin America

Active

Yes

49.00%

No

51.00%

Market ID
1230285
Volume
-
Liquidity
$145.09
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Taiwan

Active

Yes

39.50%

No

60.50%

Market ID
1230289
Volume
-
Liquidity
$488.95
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Venezuela

Active

Yes

65.00%

No

35.00%

Market ID
1230295
Volume
-
Liquidity
$692.84
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Event Stats

Event ID
177521
Start Date
Jan 20, 2026, 9:07 PM
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
41
Total Volume
253.34
Liquidity
8.94K
Last Updated
Feb 25, 2026, 9:46 AM