White House
ActiveYes
45.00%
No
55.00%
- Market ID
- 1230301
- Volume
- $119.72
- Liquidity
- $275.40
- End Date
- Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Yes
45.00%
No
55.00%
Yes
82.50%
No
17.50%
Yes
83.00%
No
17.00%
Yes
71.00%
No
29.00%
Yes
42.50%
No
57.50%
Yes
73.00%
No
27.00%
Yes
78.50%
No
21.50%
Yes
50.00%
No
50.00%
Yes
77.50%
No
22.50%
Yes
47.00%
No
53.00%
Yes
49.50%
No
50.50%
Yes
47.50%
No
52.50%
Yes
50.00%
No
50.00%
Yes
50.00%
No
50.00%
Yes
50.00%
No
50.00%
Yes
51.00%
No
49.00%
Yes
36.00%
No
64.00%
Yes
50.00%
No
50.00%
Yes
52.00%
No
48.00%
Yes
57.50%
No
42.50%
Yes
77.00%
No
23.00%
Yes
50.50%
No
49.50%
Yes
49.00%
No
51.00%
Yes
47.50%
No
52.50%
Yes
54.00%
No
46.00%
Yes
49.50%
No
50.50%
Yes
49.00%
No
51.00%
Yes
50.00%
No
50.00%
Yes
48.50%
No
51.50%
Yes
49.00%
No
51.00%
Yes
52.00%
No
48.00%
Yes
49.00%
No
51.00%
Yes
48.50%
No
51.50%
Yes
75.00%
No
25.00%
Yes
49.50%
No
50.50%
Yes
48.50%
No
51.50%
Yes
50.00%
No
50.00%
Yes
50.00%
No
50.00%
Yes
49.00%
No
51.00%
Yes
39.50%
No
60.50%
Yes
65.00%
No
35.00%
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.