PolymarketActive

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Ticker
what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026
Liquidity
$173,330
24h Volume
$3,177
End Date
Dec 9, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

1.25

Active

Yes

1.00%

No

99.00%

Market ID
1168833
Volume
$26,823
Liquidity
$12,222
End Date
Dec 9, 2026, 12:00 AM

≤1.0%

Active

Yes

3.35%

No

96.65%

Market ID
1168832
Volume
$20,084
Liquidity
$12,222
End Date
Dec 9, 2026, 12:00 AM

2.25%

Active

Yes

4.25%

No

95.75%

Market ID
1168133
Volume
$1,681
Liquidity
$10,557
End Date
Dec 9, 2026, 12:00 AM

2.5%

Active

Yes

4.50%

No

95.50%

Market ID
1168134
Volume
$1,397
Liquidity
$10,618
End Date
Dec 9, 2026, 12:00 AM

1.5%

Active

Yes

1.80%

No

98.20%

Market ID
1168834
Volume
$1,366
Liquidity
$11,550
End Date
Dec 9, 2026, 12:00 AM

2.75%

Active

Yes

9.00%

No

91.00%

Market ID
1168135
Volume
$1,359
Liquidity
$11,223
End Date
Dec 9, 2026, 12:00 AM

2.0%

Active

Yes

0.85%

No

99.15%

Market ID
1168844
Volume
$1,347
Liquidity
$11,963
End Date
Dec 9, 2026, 12:00 AM

3.0%

Active

Yes

23.50%

No

76.50%

Market ID
1168136
Volume
$1,204
Liquidity
$10,326
End Date
Dec 9, 2026, 12:00 AM

≥ 4.5%

Active

Yes

1.75%

No

98.25%

Market ID
1168142
Volume
$1,140
Liquidity
$7,271
End Date
Dec 9, 2026, 12:00 AM

4.25%

Active

Yes

0.65%

No

99.35%

Market ID
1168141
Volume
$1,074
Liquidity
$10,827
End Date
Dec 9, 2026, 12:00 AM

4.0%

Active

Yes

3.95%

No

96.05%

Market ID
1168140
Volume
$886.32
Liquidity
$14,942
End Date
Dec 9, 2026, 12:00 AM

1.75%

Active

Yes

1.70%

No

98.30%

Market ID
1168843
Volume
$843.65
Liquidity
$10,896
End Date
Dec 9, 2026, 12:00 AM

3.5%

Active

Yes

11.50%

No

88.50%

Market ID
1168138
Volume
$704.27
Liquidity
$11,424
End Date
Dec 9, 2026, 12:00 AM

3.75%

Active

Yes

7.50%

No

92.50%

Market ID
1168139
Volume
$657.22
Liquidity
$15,896
End Date
Dec 9, 2026, 12:00 AM

3.25%

Active

Yes

19.50%

No

80.50%

Market ID
1168137
Volume
$469.74
Liquidity
$11,390
End Date
Dec 9, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).

Event Stats

Event ID
159954
Start Date
Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM
End Date
Dec 9, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
15
Total Volume
61.04K
Liquidity
173.33K
Last Updated
Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM