PolymarketActive

What will Trump say during the State of the Union address?

Ticker
what-will-trump-say-during-the-state-of-the-union-address
Liquidity
$17,336
24h Volume
$650.41
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

America / American 25+ times

Active

Yes

83.00%

No

17.00%

Market ID
1083039
Volume
$4,476
Liquidity
$969.83
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Crypto / Bitcoin

Active

Yes

23.50%

No

76.50%

Market ID
1083049
Volume
$4,184
Liquidity
$3,392
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

AI / Artificial Intelligence 2+ times

Active

Yes

76.50%

No

23.50%

Market ID
1083044
Volume
$2,706
Liquidity
$1,212
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Job 20+ times

Active

Yes

60.50%

No

39.50%

Market ID
1083040
Volume
$2,485
Liquidity
$977.39
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Biden 10+ times

Active

Yes

37.00%

No

63.00%

Market ID
1083042
Volume
$1,691
Liquidity
$950.13
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times

Active

Yes

80.50%

No

19.50%

Market ID
1083041
Volume
$1,500
Liquidity
$1,150
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Border 7+ times

Active

Yes

75.00%

No

25.00%

Market ID
1083043
Volume
$1,488
Liquidity
$775.87
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Hottest

Active

Yes

75.50%

No

24.50%

Market ID
1083045
Volume
$1,278
Liquidity
$1,609
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Israel / Gaza

Active

Yes

82.00%

No

18.00%

Market ID
1083050
Volume
$1,252
Liquidity
$1,186
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

MAGA / Make America Great Again

Active

Yes

69.00%

No

31.00%

Market ID
1083051
Volume
$1,043
Liquidity
$1,214
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Gold Card / Trump Card

Active

Yes

64.00%

No

36.00%

Market ID
1083053
Volume
$994.81
Liquidity
$729.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Black / Hispanic

Active

Yes

70.50%

No

29.50%

Market ID
1083052
Volume
$619.50
Liquidity
$451.24
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Kamala / Harris

Active

Yes

35.50%

No

64.50%

Market ID
1083046
Volume
$448.17
Liquidity
$461.22
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Kennedy / Autism

Active

Yes

62.50%

No

37.50%

Market ID
1083047
Volume
$332.43
Liquidity
$1,542
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Middle East

Active

Yes

81.50%

No

18.50%

Market ID
1083048
Volume
$144.07
Liquidity
$715.37
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Event Stats

Event ID
137384
Start Date
Jan 5, 2026, 3:17 PM
End Date
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
15
Total Volume
24.64K
Liquidity
17.34K
Last Updated
Feb 25, 2026, 9:46 AM