Where will it snow first?

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Event Description

This market will resolve according to the first listed city that records a daily snowfall of at least 0.1 inches, as recorded by the National Weather Service (NWS). This market will use a daily timeframe. If two or more cities record a snowfall of at least 0.1 inches on the same day, they will be treated as tied, regardless of when the snowfall occurred or was reported. If two or more cities tie for the first snowfall day, this market will resolve according to the city with the highest snowfall on that day. If two or more tied cities also record the same amount of snowfall, this market will resolve according to the city whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities during this market’s timeframe, this market will remain open until the first qualifying snowfall in any listed city is recorded. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park (New York City), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), and St. Louis, MO (St. Louis).

Event Stats

Event ID

86463

Start Date

Nov 21, 2025, 7:11 PM

End Date

May 1, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

5

Total Volume

74.31K

Liquidity

-

Last Updated

Mar 16, 2026, 1:08 AM