PolymarketActive

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Ticker
which-artists-will-have-a-billboard-1-song-this-year
Liquidity
$6,709
24h Volume
$493.98
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

Billie Eilish

Active

Yes

55.50%

No

44.50%

Market ID
1130866
Volume
$11,945
Liquidity
$670.93
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Bad Bunny

Active

Yes

41.00%

No

59.00%

Market ID
1130865
Volume
$9,427
Liquidity
$489.73
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Doja Cat

Active

Yes

41.50%

No

58.50%

Market ID
1130867
Volume
$8,637
Liquidity
$134.92
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Frank Ocean

Active

Yes

46.00%

No

54.00%

Market ID
1130890
Volume
$8,494
Liquidity
$111.64
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Playboi Carti

Active

Yes

49.00%

No

51.00%

Market ID
1130879
Volume
$7,190
Liquidity
$130.85
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Jack Harlow

Active

Yes

40.50%

No

59.50%

Market ID
1130872
Volume
$5,157
Liquidity
$101.59
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Future

Active

Yes

16.00%

No

84.00%

Market ID
1130870
Volume
$2,260
Liquidity
$493.52
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Luke Combs

Active

Yes

40.50%

No

59.50%

Market ID
1130875
Volume
$2,196
Liquidity
$115.53
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Drake

Active

Yes

70.00%

No

30.00%

Market ID
1130868
Volume
$1,856
Liquidity
$380.52
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

The Weeknd

Active

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market ID
1130885
Volume
$1,776
Liquidity
$43.30
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

A$AP Rocky

Active

Yes

26.00%

No

74.00%

Market ID
1130863
Volume
$1,460
Liquidity
$425.38
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Mariah Carey

Active

Yes

81.50%

No

18.50%

Market ID
1138614
Volume
$1,183
Liquidity
$1,064
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Rihanna

Active

Yes

16.20%

No

83.80%

Market ID
1130881
Volume
$260.92
Liquidity
$257.38
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Sabrina Carpenter

Active

Yes

38.50%

No

61.50%

Market ID
1130882
Volume
$119.29
Liquidity
$303.58
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Olivia Rodrigo

Active

Yes

66.50%

No

33.50%

Market ID
1130877
Volume
$102.48
Liquidity
$321.32
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Harry Styles

Active

Yes

77.00%

No

23.00%

Market ID
1130871
Volume
$30.37
Liquidity
$248.77
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Morgan Wallen

Active

Yes

39.00%

No

61.00%

Market ID
1130876
Volume
$23.80
Liquidity
$55.28
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Ariana Grande

Active

Yes

50.50%

No

49.50%

Market ID
1130864
Volume
$22.72
Liquidity
$37.52
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Peso Pluma

Active

Yes

35.00%

No

65.00%

Market ID
1130878
Volume
$10.64
Liquidity
$71.33
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Kendrick Lamar

Active

Yes

44.50%

No

55.50%

Market ID
1130873
Volume
$4.43
Liquidity
$47.92
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Kanye West

Active

Yes

48.50%

No

51.50%

Market ID
1130889
Volume
$4.26
Liquidity
$32.48
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Ed Sheeran

Active

Yes

50.50%

No

49.50%

Market ID
1130869
Volume
-
Liquidity
$127.77
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

SZA

Active

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market ID
1130883
Volume
-
Liquidity
$29.06
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Tyler, The Creator

Active

Yes

19.00%

No

81.00%

Market ID
1130887
Volume
-
Liquidity
$244.24
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Lil Baby

Active

Yes

12.50%

No

87.50%

Market ID
1130874
Volume
-
Liquidity
$568.57
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Post Malone

Active

Yes

48.50%

No

51.50%

Market ID
1130880
Volume
-
Liquidity
$33.73
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Travis Scott

Active

Yes

51.50%

No

48.50%

Market ID
1130886
Volume
-
Liquidity
$127.08
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Zach Bryan

Active

Yes

48.50%

No

51.50%

Market ID
1130888
Volume
-
Liquidity
$35.15
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart. Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026. Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.

Event Stats

Event ID
149775
Start Date
Jan 9, 2026, 9:31 PM
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
28
Total Volume
62.16K
Liquidity
6.71K
Last Updated
Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM