PolymarketActive

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ticker
which-candidates-will-advance-to-brazils-presidential-runoff
Liquidity
$14,799
24h Volume
$2,657
End Date
Oct 4, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Active

Yes

79.50%

No

20.50%

Market ID
601922
Volume
$48,991
Liquidity
$4,857
End Date
Oct 4, 2026, 12:00 AM

Tarcisio de Frietas

Active

Yes

27.30%

No

72.70%

Market ID
601921
Volume
$21,566
Liquidity
$2,584
End Date
Oct 4, 2026, 12:00 AM

Fernando Haddad

Active

Yes

5.65%

No

94.35%

Market ID
601924
Volume
$12,616
Liquidity
$1,237
End Date
Oct 4, 2026, 12:00 AM

Flavio Bolsonaro

Active

Yes

63.00%

No

37.00%

Market ID
898654
Volume
$10,020
Liquidity
$2,154
End Date
Oct 4, 2026, 12:00 AM

Jair Bolsonaro

Active

Yes

1.95%

No

98.05%

Market ID
601923
Volume
$7,951
Liquidity
$1,228
End Date
Oct 4, 2026, 12:00 AM

Michelle Bolsonaro

Active

Yes

5.70%

No

94.30%

Market ID
601925
Volume
$3,941
Liquidity
$2,740
End Date
Oct 4, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Event Stats

Event ID
45925
Start Date
Sep 18, 2025, 6:02 PM
End Date
Oct 4, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
6
Total Volume
105.09K
Liquidity
14.8K
Last Updated
Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM