PolymarketActive

Which company has the #2 AI model end of January? (Style Control On)

Ticker
which-company-has-the-2-ai-model-end-of-january-style-control-on
Liquidity
$46,287
24h Volume
$4,683
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

xAI

Active

Yes

86.50%

No

13.50%

Market ID
801052
Volume
$11,309
Liquidity
$1,948
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

OpenAI

Active

Yes

1.15%

No

98.85%

Market ID
801049
Volume
$8,530
Liquidity
$4,450
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Google

Active

Yes

6.70%

No

93.30%

Market ID
801047
Volume
$7,549
Liquidity
$3,776
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Z.ai

Active

Yes

0.45%

No

99.55%

Market ID
801051
Volume
$5,309
Liquidity
$6,571
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Anthropic

Active

Yes

1.15%

No

98.85%

Market ID
801048
Volume
$5,129
Liquidity
$4,853
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Moonshot

Active

Yes

0.60%

No

99.40%

Market ID
801054
Volume
$5,121
Liquidity
$6,612
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

DeepSeek

Active

Yes

2.05%

No

97.95%

Market ID
801053
Volume
$3,972
Liquidity
$4,392
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Alibaba

Active

Yes

0.35%

No

99.65%

Market ID
801050
Volume
$3,436
Liquidity
$3,964
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Meituan

Active

Yes

0.35%

No

99.65%

Market ID
801056
Volume
$3,311
Liquidity
$5,087
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Mistral

Active

Yes

0.30%

No

99.70%

Market ID
801055
Volume
$3,272
Liquidity
$4,635
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company A

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801057
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company C

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801059
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company E

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801061
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company G

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801063
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company I

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801065
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company K

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801067
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Other

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801069
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company B

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801058
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company D

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801060
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company F

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801062
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company H

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801064
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company J

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801066
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company L

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801068
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Event Stats

Event ID
95996
Start Date
Dec 2, 2025, 11:08 PM
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
23
Total Volume
56.94K
Liquidity
46.29K
Last Updated
Jan 31, 2026, 9:01 PM