PolymarketActive

Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Ticker
which-company-has-the-2-ai-model-end-of-march-style-control-on
Liquidity
$32,168
24h Volume
$20.80
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

Meituan

Active

Yes

0.90%

No

99.10%

Market ID
801093
Volume
$2,139
Liquidity
$4,224
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Anthropic

Active

Yes

3.40%

No

96.60%

Market ID
801085
Volume
$933.31
Liquidity
$5,230
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

OpenAI

Active

Yes

29.50%

No

70.50%

Market ID
801086
Volume
$535.70
Liquidity
$1,618
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

DeepSeek

Active

Yes

4.35%

No

95.65%

Market ID
801090
Volume
$473.16
Liquidity
$5,899
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Alibaba

Active

Yes

0.40%

No

99.60%

Market ID
801087
Volume
$406.35
Liquidity
$1,274
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Z.ai

Active

Yes

3.55%

No

96.45%

Market ID
801088
Volume
$399.13
Liquidity
$1,287
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Google

Active

Yes

19.50%

No

80.50%

Market ID
801084
Volume
$305.58
Liquidity
$1,641
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Moonshot

Active

Yes

2.55%

No

97.45%

Market ID
801091
Volume
$138.73
Liquidity
$5,219
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

xAI

Active

Yes

34.00%

No

66.00%

Market ID
801089
Volume
$111.23
Liquidity
$856.62
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Mistral

Active

Yes

2.65%

No

97.35%

Market ID
801092
Volume
$80.07
Liquidity
$4,918
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company A

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801094
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company C

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801096
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company E

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801098
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company G

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801100
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company I

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801102
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company K

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801104
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Other

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801106
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company B

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801095
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company D

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801097
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company F

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801099
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company H

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801101
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company J

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801103
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company L

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801105
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Event Stats

Event ID
95999
Start Date
Dec 2, 2025, 11:48 PM
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
23
Total Volume
5.52K
Liquidity
32.17K
Last Updated
Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM