PolymarketActive

Which company has the #3 AI model end of January? (Style Control On)

Ticker
which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-january-style-control-on
Liquidity
$36,599
24h Volume
$9,405
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

xAI

Active

Yes

15.00%

No

85.00%

Market ID
801147
Volume
$9,167
Liquidity
$2,103
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Google

Active

Yes

73.50%

No

26.50%

Market ID
801142
Volume
$9,014
Liquidity
$2,180
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Anthropic

Active

Yes

7.75%

No

92.25%

Market ID
801143
Volume
$6,912
Liquidity
$1,910
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

OpenAI

Active

Yes

1.45%

No

98.55%

Market ID
801144
Volume
$3,355
Liquidity
$2,241
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Z.ai

Active

Yes

0.40%

No

99.60%

Market ID
801146
Volume
$2,791
Liquidity
$5,379
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

DeepSeek

Active

Yes

1.50%

No

98.50%

Market ID
801148
Volume
$2,737
Liquidity
$3,640
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Moonshot

Active

Yes

0.55%

No

99.45%

Market ID
801149
Volume
$2,498
Liquidity
$4,401
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Mistral

Active

Yes

0.20%

No

99.80%

Market ID
801150
Volume
$2,400
Liquidity
$6,182
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Meituan

Active

Yes

0.30%

No

99.70%

Market ID
801151
Volume
$2,220
Liquidity
$3,800
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Alibaba

Active

Yes

0.40%

No

99.60%

Market ID
801145
Volume
$2,147
Liquidity
$4,763
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company D

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801155
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company H

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801159
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company L

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801163
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company A

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801152
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company E

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801156
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company I

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801160
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Other

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801164
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company C

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801154
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company G

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801158
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company K

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801162
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company B

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801153
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company F

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801157
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company J

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801161
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Event Stats

Event ID
96013
Start Date
Dec 2, 2025, 11:58 PM
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
23
Total Volume
43.24K
Liquidity
36.6K
Last Updated
Jan 31, 2026, 9:16 PM