PolymarketActive

Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Ticker
which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-march-style-control-on
Liquidity
$8,743
24h Volume
-
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

OpenAI

Active

Yes

20.50%

No

79.50%

Market ID
801186
Volume
$142.27
Liquidity
$637.93
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

DeepSeek

Active

Yes

23.50%

No

76.50%

Market ID
801190
Volume
$136.18
Liquidity
$1,564
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Mistral

Active

Yes

10.50%

No

89.50%

Market ID
801192
Volume
$129.93
Liquidity
$1,371
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Anthropic

Active

Yes

22.00%

No

78.00%

Market ID
801185
Volume
$126.19
Liquidity
$593.86
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Alibaba

Active

Yes

16.35%

No

83.65%

Market ID
801187
Volume
$116.55
Liquidity
$725.53
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Moonshot

Active

Yes

9.50%

No

90.50%

Market ID
801191
Volume
$111.19
Liquidity
$749.10
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Meituan

Active

Yes

7.50%

No

92.50%

Market ID
801193
Volume
$111.19
Liquidity
$731.34
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

xAI

Active

Yes

16.50%

No

83.50%

Market ID
801189
Volume
$110.51
Liquidity
$899.11
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Z.ai

Active

Yes

7.00%

No

93.00%

Market ID
801188
Volume
$101.19
Liquidity
$761.86
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Google

Active

Yes

21.00%

No

79.00%

Market ID
801184
Volume
$91.19
Liquidity
$709.10
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company A

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801194
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company C

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801196
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company E

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801198
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company G

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801200
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company I

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801202
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company K

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801204
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Other

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801206
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company B

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801195
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company D

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801197
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company F

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801199
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company H

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801201
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company J

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801203
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company L

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801205
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Event Stats

Event ID
96015
Start Date
Dec 2, 2025, 11:58 PM
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
23
Total Volume
1.18K
Liquidity
8.74K
Last Updated
Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM