PolymarketActive

Which company has the second best AI model end of January?

Ticker
which-company-has-the-second-best-ai-model-end-of-january
Liquidity
$113,144
24h Volume
$51,896
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

Baidu

Active

Yes

3.10%

No

96.90%

Market ID
801678
Volume
$82,034
Liquidity
$7,881
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

OpenAI

Active

Yes

1.05%

No

98.95%

Market ID
801673
Volume
$38,318
Liquidity
$6,124
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Google

Active

Yes

91.50%

No

8.50%

Market ID
801669
Volume
$34,058
Liquidity
$5,951
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

xAI

Active

Yes

2.55%

No

97.45%

Market ID
801681
Volume
$33,515
Liquidity
$6,670
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Alibaba

Active

Yes

0.15%

No

99.85%

Market ID
801675
Volume
$31,193
Liquidity
$15,135
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Anthropic

Active

Yes

0.80%

No

99.20%

Market ID
801672
Volume
$28,567
Liquidity
$4,493
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Mistral

Active

Yes

0.05%

No

99.95%

Market ID
801689
Volume
$23,069
Liquidity
$13,517
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Z.ai

Active

Yes

0.15%

No

99.85%

Market ID
801680
Volume
$22,411
Liquidity
$13,633
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Meituan

Active

Yes

0.05%

No

99.95%

Market ID
801690
Volume
$22,214
Liquidity
$13,320
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

DeepSeek

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market ID
801685
Volume
$17,196
Liquidity
$8,382
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Moonshot

Active

Yes

0.15%

No

99.85%

Market ID
801687
Volume
$16,954
Liquidity
$18,038
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company B

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801695
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company F

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801704
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company J

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801709
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company D

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801699
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company H

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801707
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company L

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801713
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company C

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801696
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company G

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801705
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company K

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801710
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company A

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801693
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company E

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801702
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company I

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801708
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company M

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801715
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Other

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801716
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Event Stats

Event ID
96024
Start Date
Dec 2, 2025, 11:58 PM
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
25
Total Volume
349.53K
Liquidity
113.14K
Last Updated
Jan 31, 2026, 9:01 PM