PolymarketActive

Which company has the second best AI model end of March?

Ticker
which-company-has-the-second-best-ai-model-end-of-march
Liquidity
$14,834
24h Volume
$43.12
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

Google

Active

Yes

60.00%

No

40.00%

Market ID
801730
Volume
$630.65
Liquidity
$1,771
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

DeepSeek

Active

Yes

9.00%

No

91.00%

Market ID
801737
Volume
$490.17
Liquidity
$1,248
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

OpenAI

Active

Yes

14.00%

No

86.00%

Market ID
801732
Volume
$479.77
Liquidity
$1,223
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Baidu

Active

Yes

7.65%

No

92.35%

Market ID
801734
Volume
$464.99
Liquidity
$1,615
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Anthropic

Active

Yes

9.00%

No

91.00%

Market ID
801731
Volume
$346.10
Liquidity
$1,111
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

xAI

Active

Yes

7.95%

No

92.05%

Market ID
801736
Volume
$301.68
Liquidity
$1,293
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Meituan

Active

Yes

0.25%

No

99.75%

Market ID
801740
Volume
$252.68
Liquidity
$1,179
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Alibaba

Active

Yes

3.80%

No

96.20%

Market ID
801733
Volume
$243.43
Liquidity
$1,372
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Moonshot

Active

Yes

1.05%

No

98.95%

Market ID
801738
Volume
$241.32
Liquidity
$1,207
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Mistral

Active

Yes

0.55%

No

99.45%

Market ID
801739
Volume
$233.16
Liquidity
$1,511
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Z.ai

Active

Yes

0.85%

No

99.15%

Market ID
801735
Volume
$226.13
Liquidity
$1,303
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company A

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801741
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company E

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801745
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company I

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801749
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company M

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801753
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company B

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801742
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company F

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801746
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company J

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801750
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Other

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801754
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company C

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801743
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company G

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801747
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company K

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801751
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company D

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801744
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company H

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801748
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company L

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801752
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Event Stats

Event ID
96025
Start Date
Dec 2, 2025, 11:58 PM
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
25
Total Volume
3.91K
Liquidity
14.83K
Last Updated
Mar 16, 2026, 2:31 AM