PolymarketActive

Which company has the third best AI model end of January?

Ticker
which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-january
Liquidity
$100,093
24h Volume
$27,350
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

OpenAI

Active

Yes

0.15%

No

99.85%

Market ID
801812
Volume
$119,224
Liquidity
$19,128
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Z.ai

Active

Yes

0.15%

No

99.85%

Market ID
801815
Volume
$56,223
Liquidity
$8,719
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Baidu

Active

Yes

3.20%

No

96.80%

Market ID
801814
Volume
$55,417
Liquidity
$6,858
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

xAI

Active

Yes

2.15%

No

97.85%

Market ID
801816
Volume
$41,056
Liquidity
$5,627
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Mistral

Active

Yes

0.15%

No

99.85%

Market ID
801819
Volume
$34,966
Liquidity
$12,985
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Google

Active

Yes

92.50%

No

7.50%

Market ID
801810
Volume
$30,855
Liquidity
$6,330
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Meituan

Active

Yes

0.15%

No

99.85%

Market ID
801820
Volume
$28,382
Liquidity
$9,330
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Anthropic

Active

Yes

1.10%

No

98.90%

Market ID
801811
Volume
$26,535
Liquidity
$9,218
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Alibaba

Active

Yes

0.25%

No

99.75%

Market ID
801813
Volume
$26,030
Liquidity
$9,527
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

DeepSeek

Active

Yes

1.15%

No

98.85%

Market ID
801817
Volume
$14,534
Liquidity
$5,598
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Moonshot

Active

Yes

0.25%

No

99.75%

Market ID
801818
Volume
$12,680
Liquidity
$6,773
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company A

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801821
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company C

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801823
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company E

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801825
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company G

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801827
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company I

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801829
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company K

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801831
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company M

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801833
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company B

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801822
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company D

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801824
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company F

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801826
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company H

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801828
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company J

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801830
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company L

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801832
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Other

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801834
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Event Stats

Event ID
96040
Start Date
Dec 2, 2025, 11:58 PM
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
25
Total Volume
445.9K
Liquidity
100.09K
Last Updated
Jan 31, 2026, 9:16 PM