PolymarketActive

Which company has the third best AI model end of March?

Ticker
which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-march
Liquidity
$28,838
24h Volume
$322.28
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

Google

Active

Yes

40.50%

No

59.50%

Market ID
801835
Volume
$3,501
Liquidity
$1,710
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

OpenAI

Active

Yes

9.50%

No

90.50%

Market ID
801837
Volume
$2,776
Liquidity
$2,715
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Meituan

Active

Yes

0.20%

No

99.80%

Market ID
801845
Volume
$1,940
Liquidity
$1,540
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Anthropic

Active

Yes

6.65%

No

93.35%

Market ID
801836
Volume
$1,742
Liquidity
$2,300
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

DeepSeek

Active

Yes

6.60%

No

93.40%

Market ID
801842
Volume
$1,465
Liquidity
$6,138
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Mistral

Active

Yes

0.20%

No

99.80%

Market ID
801844
Volume
$1,061
Liquidity
$2,139
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Baidu

Active

Yes

7.85%

No

92.15%

Market ID
801839
Volume
$1,051
Liquidity
$1,442
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

xAI

Active

Yes

16.50%

No

83.50%

Market ID
801841
Volume
$1,008
Liquidity
$3,719
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Alibaba

Active

Yes

1.50%

No

98.50%

Market ID
801838
Volume
$685.42
Liquidity
$2,874
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Moonshot

Active

Yes

0.45%

No

99.55%

Market ID
801843
Volume
$498.02
Liquidity
$2,012
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Z.ai

Active

Yes

0.25%

No

99.75%

Market ID
801840
Volume
$485.48
Liquidity
$2,248
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company A

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801846
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company C

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801848
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company E

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801850
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company G

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801852
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company I

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801854
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company K

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801856
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company M

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801858
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company B

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801847
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company D

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801849
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company F

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801851
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company H

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801853
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company J

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801855
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company L

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801857
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Other

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
801859
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Event Stats

Event ID
96041
Start Date
Dec 2, 2025, 11:58 PM
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
25
Total Volume
16.21K
Liquidity
28.84K
Last Updated
Mar 16, 2026, 2:31 AM