PolymarketActive

Which company has the top AI model end of January? (Style Control On)

Ticker
which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-january-style-control-on
Liquidity
$309,742
24h Volume
$16,434
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

Google

Active

Yes

95.50%

No

4.50%

Market ID
800439
Volume
$113,151
Liquidity
$6,054
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

xAI

Active

Yes

3.35%

No

96.65%

Market ID
800444
Volume
$109,843
Liquidity
$4,063
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

OpenAI

Active

Yes

0.75%

No

99.25%

Market ID
800441
Volume
$100,110
Liquidity
$16,858
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Meituan

Active

Yes

0.15%

No

99.85%

Market ID
800452
Volume
$98,128
Liquidity
$52,974
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Mistral

Active

Yes

0.05%

No

99.95%

Market ID
800450
Volume
$82,344
Liquidity
$36,415
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Anthropic

Active

Yes

0.25%

No

99.75%

Market ID
800440
Volume
$80,461
Liquidity
$24,977
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

DeepSeek

Active

Yes

0.15%

No

99.85%

Market ID
800446
Volume
$74,032
Liquidity
$35,360
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Z.ai

Active

Yes

0.15%

No

99.85%

Market ID
800443
Volume
$70,779
Liquidity
$43,719
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Moonshot

Active

Yes

0.15%

No

99.85%

Market ID
800448
Volume
$66,389
Liquidity
$40,212
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Alibaba

Active

Yes

0.15%

No

99.85%

Market ID
800442
Volume
$66,063
Liquidity
$49,110
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company B

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800456
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company A

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800454
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company C

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800458
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company E

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800462
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company F

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800465
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company G

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800467
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company H

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800469
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company I

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800471
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company K

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800473
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Other

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800475
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company D

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800460
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company J

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800472
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company L

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800474
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Event Stats

Event ID
95954
Start Date
Dec 2, 2025, 10:59 PM
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
23
Total Volume
861.3K
Liquidity
309.74K
Last Updated
Jan 31, 2026, 9:16 PM