PolymarketActive

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Ticker
which-company-has-the-top-ai-model-end-of-march-style-control-on
Liquidity
$25,582
24h Volume
$711.32
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

Google

Active

Yes

72.50%

No

27.50%

Market ID
800482
Volume
$3,711
Liquidity
$3,576
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

xAI

Active

Yes

18.50%

No

81.50%

Market ID
800487
Volume
$2,415
Liquidity
$1,957
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

DeepSeek

Active

Yes

2.20%

No

97.80%

Market ID
800488
Volume
$2,221
Liquidity
$2,445
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Alibaba

Active

Yes

0.90%

No

99.10%

Market ID
800485
Volume
$2,135
Liquidity
$2,669
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Meituan

Active

Yes

0.30%

No

99.70%

Market ID
800491
Volume
$2,125
Liquidity
$2,311
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Z.ai

Active

Yes

0.35%

No

99.65%

Market ID
800486
Volume
$2,036
Liquidity
$2,367
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Mistral

Active

Yes

0.45%

No

99.55%

Market ID
800490
Volume
$2,030
Liquidity
$2,789
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Moonshot

Active

Yes

0.35%

No

99.65%

Market ID
800489
Volume
$1,862
Liquidity
$3,157
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

OpenAI

Active

Yes

3.60%

No

96.40%

Market ID
800484
Volume
$1,767
Liquidity
$2,077
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Anthropic

Active

Yes

3.95%

No

96.05%

Market ID
800483
Volume
$1,536
Liquidity
$2,234
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company A

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800492
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company C

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800494
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company E

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800496
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company G

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800498
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company I

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800500
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company K

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800502
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Other

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800504
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company B

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800493
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company D

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800495
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company F

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800497
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company H

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800499
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company J

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800501
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company L

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
800503
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Event Stats

Event ID
95957
Start Date
Dec 2, 2025, 11:08 PM
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
23
Total Volume
21.84K
Liquidity
25.58K
Last Updated
Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM