PolymarketActive

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Ticker
which-company-will-have-the-best-ai-model-for-coding-on-march-31
Liquidity
$32,059
24h Volume
$1,120
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

Anthropic

Active

Yes

24.00%

No

76.00%

Market ID
920284
Volume
$8,877
Liquidity
$2,718
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

DeepSeek

Active

Yes

5.50%

No

94.50%

Market ID
920289
Volume
$8,873
Liquidity
$3,247
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

OpenAI

Active

Yes

46.00%

No

54.00%

Market ID
920285
Volume
$8,643
Liquidity
$3,286
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

xAI

Active

Yes

4.80%

No

95.20%

Market ID
920288
Volume
$6,792
Liquidity
$3,496
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Google

Active

Yes

12.00%

No

88.00%

Market ID
920283
Volume
$5,496
Liquidity
$2,623
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Moonshot

Active

Yes

1.00%

No

99.00%

Market ID
920290
Volume
$4,958
Liquidity
$3,990
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Alibaba

Active

Yes

0.80%

No

99.20%

Market ID
920286
Volume
$4,445
Liquidity
$4,843
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Z.ai

Active

Yes

0.40%

No

99.60%

Market ID
920287
Volume
$4,067
Liquidity
$3,571
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Mistral

Active

Yes

3.30%

No

96.70%

Market ID
920291
Volume
$3,966
Liquidity
$4,284
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company B

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
920293
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company D

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
920295
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company F

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
920297
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company H

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
920299
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company A

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
920292
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company C

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
920294
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company E

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
920296
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Company G

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
920298
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Other

Inactive

Yes

-

No

-

Market ID
920300
Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order. The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Event Stats

Event ID
103423
Start Date
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
18
Total Volume
56.12K
Liquidity
32.06K
Last Updated
Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM